Will Windows Phone surpass the iPhone by 2015? Gartner things so.

Microsoft, which is banking on the success of Windows Phone 7 and just signed a critical deal with Nokia, could topple at least one of its primary rivals in the next three years. At least that’s the word from Gartner, which projects that Windows Phone will control 19.5 percent of the market by 2015. That compares to 17.2 percent for iOS, the mobile operating system behind the iPhone.

That’s a huge potential leap for Microsoft. Gartner says Microsoft currently owns just 4.2 percent of the smartphone market.

It’s similar to another recent prediction by the IDC research firm.

From the report:

Gartner predicts that Nokia will push Windows Phone well into the mid-tier of its portfolio by the end of 2012, driving the platform to be the third largest in the worldwide ranking by 2013. Gartner has revised its forecast of Windows Phone’s market share upward, solely by virtue of Microsoft’s alliance with Nokia. Although this is an honorable performance it is considerably less than what Symbian had achieve in the past underlying the upward battle that Nokia has to face.


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